PITCHER MATCHUP

Cristian Javier vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cristian Javier's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cristian Javier's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .343Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sweeper 26%Changeup 18%Knuckle Curve 5%Sinker 4%Cutter 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cristian Javier, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 637 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →