PITCHER MATCHUP

Cristian Javier vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cristian Javier's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cristian Javier's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sweeper 26%Changeup 18%Knuckle Curve 5%Sinker 4%Cutter 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cristian Javier, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.