PITCHER MATCHUP

Cristian Javier vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cristian Javier's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cristian Javier's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .343Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sweeper 26%Changeup 18%Knuckle Curve 5%Sinker 4%Cutter 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cristian Javier, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.