PITCHER MATCHUP

Cristian Javier vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cristian Javier's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cristian Javier's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sweeper 24%Changeup 18%Knuckle Curve 7%Sinker 6%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cristian Javier, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-03 game page →