PITCHER MATCHUP

Cristian Javier vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cristian Javier's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cristian Javier's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Sweeper 26%Changeup 18%Knuckle Curve 5%Sinker 4%Cutter 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cristian Javier, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MS Myles Straw RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Josh Smith LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.