PITCHER MATCHUP

Connelly Early vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connelly Early's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connelly Early's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .239vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 19%Changeup 18%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 7%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connelly Early, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.