PITCHER MATCHUP

Connelly Early vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connelly Early's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connelly Early's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .244vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 19%Changeup 18%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 7%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connelly Early, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JP Joc Pederson LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.