PITCHER MATCHUP

Connelly Early vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Connelly Early's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Connelly Early's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .239vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 19%Changeup 18%Curveball 12%Slider 9%Sweeper 7%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Connelly Early, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 652 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Josh Jung RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CS Corey Seager LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.