PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Petty vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Petty's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Petty's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .419Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 30%Changeup 21%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 16%Slider 14%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Petty, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.