PITCHER MATCHUP

Chase Petty vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Chase Petty's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Chase Petty's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .419Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 30%Changeup 21%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 16%Slider 14%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Chase Petty, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.