PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.