PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Austin Martin RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →