PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 RG Riley Greene LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →