PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.