PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.