PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NS Nick Sogard SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.