PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 603 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.