PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .262
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →