PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .256
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.