PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.