PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.