PITCHER MATCHUP
Carlos Rodón vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Carlos Rodón's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .368
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .283
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.