PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .388
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .439 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-11 game page →