PITCHER MATCHUP

Carlos Rodón vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Carlos Rodón's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Carlos Rodón's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Changeup 15%Sinker 9%Curveball 4%Cutter 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Carlos Rodón, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GS George Springer RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →