PITCHER MATCHUP
Cal Quantrill vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cal Quantrill's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Cal Quantrill's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Splitter 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Curveball 10%Slider 5%Changeup 1%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cal Quantrill, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →