PITCHER MATCHUP

Cal Quantrill vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cal Quantrill's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cal Quantrill's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Splitter 23%Cutter 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 9%Slider 5%Changeup 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cal Quantrill, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 622 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-08 game page →