PITCHER MATCHUP

Cal Quantrill vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cal Quantrill's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cal Quantrill's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Splitter 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 9%Slider 4%Changeup 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cal Quantrill, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .380
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.