PITCHER MATCHUP

Cal Quantrill vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cal Quantrill's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Cal Quantrill's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Splitter 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Curveball 10%Slider 5%Changeup 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cal Quantrill, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .380
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-10 game page →