PITCHER MATCHUP
Cal Quantrill vs Houston Astros
How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Cal Quantrill's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Cal Quantrill's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Splitter 23%Cutter 20%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Curveball 9%Slider 5%Changeup 1%
How the Houston Astros's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Cal Quantrill, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 CW Christian Walker RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .379
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CS Cam Smith RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.