PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryse Wilson vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryse Wilson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryse Wilson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .400vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 30%Sinker 28%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 13%Changeup 11%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryse Wilson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 716 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .440 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-24 game page →