PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryse Wilson vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryse Wilson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryse Wilson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .409vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 30%Sinker 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 13%Changeup 11%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryse Wilson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.