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Relief Pitcher

Bryse Wilson

Reliever
Model projection · strikeout prop
No graded line yet for tonight's start vs. Phillies. The projection appears when the model has a line to price.
ERA
3.67
FIP
–
IP
34.1
W-L
0-0
WHIP
1.28
K%
20.7
BB%
2.1
GB%
–
K/9
7.9
HR/9
0.8

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Phillies · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Phillies current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .323

  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 716 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .440 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Cutter (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Cutter

FC · lead pitch

30% of pitches · .382 xwOBA allowed · 229 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
3%4%4%2%1%3%6%7%6%2%3%9%12%13%8%1%2%2%4%2%0%1%2%3%2%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
.230.207.283.715.731.000.160.418.373–.345.349.403.423.418.253.241.677.382.000–.125.241.486.000
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
.006.008.010.015.006.000.010.028.023–.011.032.049.056.033.001.004.010.016.000–.001.005.014.000
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Cutter (30% usage) has allowed .382 xwOBA over 229 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

5 pitch types · 2,945-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Cutter FC
30% usage · 19% whiff · .382 xwOBA · 88.0 mph
Sinker SI
28% usage · 10% whiff · .328 xwOBA · 92.2 mph
Four-Seam Fastball FF
17% usage · 20% whiff · .396 xwOBA · 93.2 mph
Curveball CU
13% usage · 18% whiff · .357 xwOBA · 80.8 mph
Changeup CH
11% usage · 16% whiff · .381 xwOBA · 85.6 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
0102030407/298/78/118/148/198/238/268/30
CutterSinkerFour-Seam Fastball
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB14.5 .400 348
vs. RHB18.6 .338 437
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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