PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 20%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .470 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.