PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 20%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.