PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 21%Sinker 12%Slider 9%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 6%Cutter 2%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →