PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 20%Sinker 13%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 6%Cutter 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TG Tristan Gray LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Gray
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →