PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 20%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.