PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 21%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 6%Cutter 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.