PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 21%Sinker 13%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 6%Cutter 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-06 game page →