PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 20%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.