PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Splitter 20%Sinker 13%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.