PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Splitter 20%Sinker 13%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-19 game page →