PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 20%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.