PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 20%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake Mangum SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.