PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 20%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.