PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 21%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 6%Cutter 3%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.