PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 20%Sinker 13%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 6%Cutter 2%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .371
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .428 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.