PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 18%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 6%Cutter 2%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.