PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 21%Sinker 12%Slider 9%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.