PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 20%Sinker 13%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 8%Sweeper 6%Cutter 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Joe Mack LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →