PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 20%Sinker 13%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 6%Cutter 2%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EH Eric Haase RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eric Haase
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-17 game page →