PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Miller vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Miller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Miller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 20%Sinker 12%Slider 10%Knuckle Curve 7%Sweeper 7%Cutter 3%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Miller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.