PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .439 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.