PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 36%Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 10%Cutter 6%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .442 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →