PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.