PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 10%Cutter 7%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Daniel Susac RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 CK Christian Koss RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GM Grant McCray LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Grant McCray
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.