PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CK Christian Koss RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jonah Cox RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Cox
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TH Turner Hill LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Turner Hill
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.