PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MC Matt Chapman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CK Christian Koss RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.