PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 36%Slider 32%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 10%Cutter 5%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 WA Willy Adames RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RD Rafael Devers LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LA Luis Arraez LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MC Matt Chapman RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Daniel Susac RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →