PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 641 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.