PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.