PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.