PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 11%Cutter 8%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.