PITCHER MATCHUP

Bryce Elder vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bryce Elder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bryce Elder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 36%Slider 31%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Changeup 10%Cutter 7%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bryce Elder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.