PITCHER MATCHUP

Brady Basso vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brady Basso's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brady Basso's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Curveball 19%Cutter 16%Slider 8%Sinker 6%Changeup 5%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brady Basso, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →