RunsLeft › Pitchers › Brady Basso
Pitcher · Athletics

Brady Basso

LHP · Throws Left · Age 28Swingman
Model projection · strikeout prop
20.8%
20.8% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 1.5 Ks, tonight vs. HOU. Confidence low.
ERA
3.91
FIP
–
IP
23.0
W-L
0-0
WHIP
1.35
K%
19.0
BB%
3.0
GB%
–
K/9
7.4
HR/9
0.8
Drafted by the Oakland Athletics in 2019 (round 16). He made his MLB debut on May 31, 2024.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Astros · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Astros current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .325

  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .403
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Four-Seam Fastball

FF · lead pitch

45% of pitches · .301 xwOBA allowed · 108 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
2%5%3%5%2%2%8%12%6%2%5%14%16%7%2%1%4%2%0%0%1%1%2%1%0%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.401.126.691.691.264.287.293.305.373.515.329.256.317.360.691.076.013––.689.691.389––
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.020.004.031.010.005.023.035.018.007.027.047.041.023.007.005.003.000––.006.006.007––
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) has allowed .301 xwOBA over 108 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

7 pitch types · 869-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Four-Seam Fastball FF
45% usage · 15% whiff · .301 xwOBA · 93.0 mph
Curveball CU
19% usage · 32% whiff · .254 xwOBA · 77.4 mph
Cutter FC
18% usage · 27% whiff · .322 xwOBA · 87.3 mph
Slider SL
7% usage · 13% whiff · .307 xwOBA · 83.7 mph
Changeup CH
6% usage · 14% whiff · .415 xwOBA
Sinker SI
5% usage · .436 xwOBA
Unknown UN
1% usage
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
010203040507/297/318/48/68/98/118/158/18
Four-Seam FastballCurveballCutter
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB23.1 .256 77
vs. RHB14.7 .339 157
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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