PITCHER MATCHUP
Brady Basso vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brady Basso's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Brady Basso's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Curveball 18%Cutter 16%Slider 7%Changeup 6%Sinker 6%Unknown 1%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brady Basso, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .370
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.