PITCHER MATCHUP

Brady Basso vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brady Basso's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brady Basso's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .256vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Curveball 19%Cutter 18%Slider 7%Changeup 6%Sinker 5%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brady Basso, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .403
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →