PITCHER MATCHUP

Bailey Ober vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bailey Ober's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bailey Ober's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 31%Slider 18%Sweeper 12%Sinker 3%Curveball 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bailey Ober, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.