PITCHER MATCHUP

Bailey Ober vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bailey Ober's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bailey Ober's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 31%Slider 18%Sweeper 12%Sinker 3%Curveball 2%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bailey Ober, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 660 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Justin Foscue RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Foscue
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-26 game page →