PITCHER MATCHUP

Bailey Ober vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bailey Ober's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bailey Ober's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Changeup 32%Slider 17%Sweeper 11%Sinker 3%Curveball 3%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bailey Ober, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .296
  1. 1 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DS Daniel Schneemann LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Schneemann
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PB Patrick Bailey SH .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DF David Fry SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Fry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (32% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →