PITCHER MATCHUP

Bailey Ober vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bailey Ober's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bailey Ober's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Changeup 31%Slider 18%Sweeper 11%Sinker 3%Curveball 3%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bailey Ober, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.