PITCHER MATCHUP

Bailey Ober vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bailey Ober's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bailey Ober's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 31%Slider 18%Sweeper 12%Sinker 3%Curveball 2%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bailey Ober, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 675 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.