PITCHER MATCHUP

Bailey Ober vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bailey Ober's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bailey Ober's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 31%Slider 18%Sweeper 12%Sinker 3%Curveball 2%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bailey Ober, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MC Matt Chapman RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CK Christian Koss RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.