PITCHER MATCHUP
Anthony Kay vs New York Yankees
How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Anthony Kay's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .261vs RHH xwOBA .374Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%
How the New York Yankees's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 BR Ben Rice LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JC José Caballero RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AW Austin Wells LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .399
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .452 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.