PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .256vs RHH xwOBA .373Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-05 game page →