PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .378Seasons 2026
Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sinker 18%Cutter 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.