PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .376Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 5%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Ben Malgeri SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Malgeri
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-15 game page →