PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .378Seasons 2026
Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sinker 18%Cutter 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.