PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .260vs RHH xwOBA .377Seasons 2026
Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sinker 18%Cutter 18%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-27 game page →