PITCHER MATCHUP
Anthony Kay vs Colorado Rockies
How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Anthony Kay's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .378Seasons 2026
Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sinker 18%Cutter 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%
How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willi Castro SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.