PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .371Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 21%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 613 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.