PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .267vs RHH xwOBA .381Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 18%Changeup 13%Slider 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →