PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .378Seasons 2026
Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sinker 18%Cutter 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.