PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .261vs RHH xwOBA .374Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.