PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .377Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 21%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →