PITCHER MATCHUP
Anthony Kay vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Anthony Kay's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .261vs RHH xwOBA .374Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 620 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Max Muncy LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TE Tommy Edman SH .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AF Alex Freeland SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.