PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .378Seasons 2026
Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sinker 18%Cutter 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.