PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .256vs RHH xwOBA .375Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-11 game page →