PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .273vs RHH xwOBA .395Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sweeper 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 18%Changeup 14%Slider 3%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DS Dominic Smith LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.