PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .261vs RHH xwOBA .374Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 662 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.