PITCHER MATCHUP
Anthony Kay vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Anthony Kay's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .258vs RHH xwOBA .374Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MS Myles Straw RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.