PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .376Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Sinker 18%Changeup 14%Slider 5%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-17 game page →